A League Picks – Round 5

Well I had my best week so far last week winning a whole $12.65 back from my $10 gambled.

I should do this professionally.

Ledger before starting this weeks bets is at -$9.80


Heart v Wanderers


The Wanderers have started to hit their straps with their come from behind win last week, and The Heart remain rooted to the foot of the table. The only spanner in the works is that this is the first time in a VERY long time (since the 16th of March) that Western Sydney have played a competitive game outside of NSW and therefore away from their 12th man and inventors of active support, the RBB. What effect this has on the Wanderers is unknown, but I’m guessing that they’ll brush that aside and still take the 3 points. It’s been 11 months since anyone not named Central Coast beat them, so I’ll put $2 on the Wanderers to win (at $1.72) and just in case they do struggle with it, I’ll have a $1 insurance bet on the draw (at $3.60)


Wellington v Perth


Perth are hard to get a grip on at the moment. They’ve looked very capable at times, and then completely devoid of any ability to play football whatsoever at many, many other times. Then on the other end of the spectrum, Wellington looked like a park football team for the first 30 minutes against Melbourne last week, but have looked a far better team for the other 330 minutes of this season, in spite of still being winless. On top of that, the trip from Perth to Wellington is brutal, so there are a lot of factors to consider here. With Smeltz back and both teams defences looking a bit shaky, I think that my best bet is to go for $1 on Over 3.5 Goals scored (at $3.30)


Adelaide v Newcastle


What a contrast of styles we have on our hands here. Gombau is bringing in a new revolution at Adelaide as they learn to keep the ball on the deck and play it out from the back, while Newcastle played their first bit of actual football for the year in the F3 derby last weekend. I expect them to revert back to type for their trip to Adelaide as they chase the coveted 0-0 draw away from home. Adelaide’s start to the season may have seen an improvement in style, but the results have not yet come through for them, with only 1 win and 1 (very lucky) draw to their name. But that can be deceiving. wince winning their round one clash with Perth, the draw has been unkind, placing them up against the top 3 sides from last season in consecutive weeks. I’m going to put $2 on Adelaide to win (at $1.87) and an extra $1 bet on the halftime draw into Adelaide winning (at $4.25)


Sydney v Victory


This is a tough match to place a bet on. I’ve had my say on the Frank Farina rant from yesterday already, and only time will tell if it was the fading rantings of a mad man or some sort of motivational masterstroke, but regardless of any of that, there is simply nothing inside me that can make me bet on Melbourne Victory to beat Sydney FC. Even if it’s easy money. I’m putting a dollar on Sydney FC to win (at $2.90)


Mariners v Roar


The grand final rivals of seasons past find themselves both in the title conversation early on again this season. The Roar have come out and tried to flash their title credentials early and often this season while the Mariners look like they are just easing their way into this season with the knowledge that the finals and then the Asian Champions League is a long way away. Perhaps this home game is what it will take to get them to kick their season into gear (though if they couldn’t get up for a win in the derby last week or the sellout season opener then perhaps they can’t do it here either). I’m just going to put the remaining $2 on a Mariners win (at $2.30)


Ledger sits at $-19.80

Gamble Responsibly

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